Reform is the most popular party in the UK right now: poll
Reform maintains a clear national lead, while party-switching dynamics, leader approvals, and perceptions of the Greens, the US, and Europe all reveal a shifting political landscape, according to the latest Opinium polling.
Reform continues to top voting intention on 31%, ahead of Labour on 20% and the Conservatives on 18%. The Liberal Democrats remain on 13% and the Greens on 12%.
Tactical voting preferences highlight notable movement on the centre-left. If Labour were highly unlikely to win in a constituency, 1 in 5 Labour voters (19%) say they would switch to the Liberal Democrats, while 17% would move to the Greens. Smaller numbers would shift to the Conservatives or Reform (both 11%).
Among other parties’ supporters:
- 17% of Lib Dem voters would consider Labour in seats where the Lib Dems cannot win.
- 21% of Lib Dem voters would consider the Greens in that scenario.
- 19% of Green voters would consider the Lib Dems if Greens were uncompetitive.
Reform voters demonstrate the least willingness to switch: only 11% would consider the Conservatives, 7% the Greens, and just 6% Labour or the Lib Dems.
Leader ratings
Approval ratings remain bleak for the main party leaders but show notable divergence. Starmer’s modest improvement still leaves him well below the levels recorded by recent Conservative leaders. Badenoch, by contrast, continues a steady upward trend.
- Keir Starmer: Net –43 (+2)
- Kemi Badenoch: Net –10 (+4), her best score of the year
- Ed Davey: Net –4
- Nigel Farage: Net –12
- Rachel Reeves: Net –45 (–3)
The public scores the Green Party more positively than Labour, and often the Conservatives, on several party brand attributes. The Greens perform best on:
- Knowing what it stands for (+20)
- Having a clear sense of purpose (+13)
- Being united (+12)
However, the Greens score poorly on perceived readiness for office:
- “Ready for government”: –31, similar to Conservative levels (–26)
They also underperform on:
- Representing public opinion (–19)
- Being trusted with major decisions (–17)
Reaction to Keir Starmer’s comments describing the Greens as “nuts” and “dangerous” is mixed: 39% say the comments were fair, 33% unfair.
Fairness scores are much higher among Labour and Conservative voters, but sharply negative among Lib Dem (-12) and Green voters (–45).
